Initial Diagnostic Audit - Unit D1: Probability of One Event

Do NOT use a calculator for any questions in the audit unless specifically told otherwise
Section D1.1 - Probabilities
1. If you roll a dice 120 times, how many 6s would you expect to get?
2. If you toss a fair coin 100 times, how many times would you expect to get a HEAD?
3. Indicate the probability for each event below;

(a) Brazil will win the next Football Wolrd Cup

(b) You throw an 8 with a normal dice.

(c) It will snow on October 1st next year.

Section D1.2 - Straightforward Probability
4.
When you toss a fair coin, what is the probability of it landing TAILS up?  
 
5. A train is late for 0.1 of its journeys. What do you think is the probability of it being on time tomorrow?
Give your answer as a decimal.
6. A football team plays 40 games in the season. The probability of the team winning any game is estimated
as  
3
 .
8
(a) How many games do you think the team will win?

The probability of them drawing any game is estimated as  
1
 .
4

(b) How many games do you think they will draw?

(c) What is the probability of the team losing any game?  
 

Section D1.3 - Finding Probabilities Using Relative Frequency
7. Your bus to town is late 5 times in a 4-week period (Monday to Friday).
What is your estimate of the probability that it will be late next Monday?  
 
8. It rained on 12 of the last 30 days.
What do you estimate to be the probability that it will not rain tomorrow?  
 
9. Five students play table tennis regularly. The number of games each student has won is given in the table below.

Player
Games Won
Games Lost
Tom
Steve
Debbie
Eva
Liz
12
6
5
9
8
9
8
16
3
4

(a) Who is the best player?

(b) What is the probability of Eva winning?  
 

(c) If Tom played Liz, who would you expect to win?

Section D1.4 - Determining Probabilities
10. A card is taken from a pack of 52 playing cards.
What is the probability of it being

(a) the Queen of Diamonds?  
 

(b) an Ace?  
 

(c) a red card?  
 

11. A fair dice is rolled once. What is the probability of obtaining

(a) a 6?  
 

(b) a number greater than 4?  
 


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Produced by Russell Geach for CIMT - January 2013